Probability and Evidence, Paperback / softback Book

Probability and Evidence Paperback / softback

Part of the Cambridge Studies in Philosophy series

Paperback / softback

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In this volume, which was originally published in 1982, Paul Horwich presents a clear and unified approach to a number of problems in the philosophy of science.

He diagnoses the failure of other attempts to resolve them as stemming from a too-rigid, all-or-nothing conception of belief, and adopts instead a Bayesian strategy, emphasising the degree of confidence to which we are entitled the light of scientific evidence.

This probabilistic approach, he argues, yields a more complete understanding of the assumptions and procedures characteristic of scientific reasoning.

It also accounts for the merits of simplicity, severe tests and surprising predictions, and provides a way in which the dispute between the realist and instrumentalist views of science might be resolved.

The result is a crisp, well-focused contribution to the philosophy of science.

The elaboration of an important conception of probability will stimulate anyone with an interest in the field.

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