Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction PDF
Edited by Vladimir Keilis-Borok, Alexandre A. Soloviev
Part of the Springer Series in Synergetics series
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Description
The vulnerability of our civilization to earthquakes is rapidly growing, rais- ing earthquakes to the ranks of major threats faced by humankind.
Earth- quake prediction is necessary to reduce that threat by undertaking disaster- preparedness measures.
This is one of the critically urgent problems whose solution requires fundamental research.
At the same time, prediction is a ma- jor tool of basic science, a source of heuristic constraints and the final test of theories.
This volume summarizes the state-of-the-art in earthquake prediction.
Its following aspects are considered: - Existing prediction algorithms and the quality of predictions they pro- vide. - Application of such predictions for damage reduction, given their current accuracy, so far limited. - Fundamental understanding of the lithosphere gained in earthquake prediction research. - Emerging possibilities for major improvements of earthquake prediction methods. - Potential implications for predicting other disasters, besides earthquakes.
Methodologies. At the heart of the research described here is the inte- gration of three methodologies: phenomenological analysis of observations; "universal" models of complex systems such as those considered in statistical physics and nonlinear dynamics; and Earth-specific models of tectonic fault networks.
In addition, the theory of optimal control is used to link earthquake prediction with earthquake preparedness.
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- Format:PDF
- Publisher:Springer Berlin Heidelberg
- Publication Date:14/03/2013
- Category:
- ISBN:9783662052983
Information
-
Download Now
- Format:PDF
- Publisher:Springer Berlin Heidelberg
- Publication Date:14/03/2013
- Category:
- ISBN:9783662052983